La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Leganés v Andorra CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leganés (Local)
Predicción 38.58%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%38.48%38.64%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.21%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andorra CF (Visitante)
Predicción 33.36%3.00momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.814%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.62%33.42%33.30%34.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.782.9540.00%36.15%35.97%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -0.720%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%28.10%28.06%29.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.20%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.60%EV -5.09%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.57%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.60%EV -5.09%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.57%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -6.24%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -6.24%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -6.24%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -6.24%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -6.24%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.59%E -0.538%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Bovada | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.24%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -5.92%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 19:25 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 19:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.26%E -4.66%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.26%E -4.66%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -8.56%E -3.61%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -8.56%E -3.61%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 19:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.90%EV -9.72%E -4.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-20 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -10.49%E -4.52%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -14.43%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -10.49%E -4.52%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -14.43%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 19:28 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.26%E -4.66%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.62%EV -12.03%E -5.28%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.07%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -14.43%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-23 06:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -13.96%E -6.26%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.76%EV -10.59%E -3.95%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -15.12%E -6.87%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -19.20%E -6.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.16%EV -17.05%E -7.93%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.68%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.16%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-21 12:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.69% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13% | 10.0% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.55% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.55% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53% | 16.8% | 2026-04-20 14:40 |