La escuela de los momios

Las Palmas v Sporting Gijón

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Palmas (Local)

Predicción 50.98%1.96momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.81%51.07%50.83%52.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.811.821.9261.73%55.15%54.95%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sporting Gijón (Visitante)

Predicción 22.00%4.55momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.633%
Kelly +0.805%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.03%21.92%22.10%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.144.104.6826.67%24.13%24.39%21.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.29%27.02%27.07%28.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.303.6034.72%29.97%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.47%EV -6.19%E -3.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.63%EV +2.96%E +0.633%K +0.805%G +0.024%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.89%EV -3.01%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 17:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.76%E -5.51%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV +1.20%E +0.261%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:25
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.72%EV +0.762%E +0.166%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.43%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.05%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.05%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:03
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -10.78%E -6.16%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -0.998%E -0.222%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.78%E -6.16%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -0.998%E -0.222%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:25
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.76%E -5.51%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -2.10%E -0.471%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:19
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.76%E -5.51%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.20%E -0.727%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 17:19
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.76%E -5.51%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.20%E -0.727%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -4.74%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -11.80%E -6.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -4.74%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:24
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:04
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:04
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -3.13%E -1.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -11.80%E -6.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 17:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -11.80%E -6.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -7.21%E -3.96%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.70%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -7.21%E -3.96%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.70%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:20
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:04
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:04
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:04
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:04
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:19
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:19
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.68%EV -17.41%E -10.74%K -28.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.42%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-22 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.82%EV -10.27%E -5.83%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.90%E -2.69%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.96%EV -10.78%E -6.16%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -10.90%E -2.69%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:04
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 17:04
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 17:04
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:04
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:04
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:04
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -4.15%E -2.21%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.70%E -3.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 17:19
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.04%EV -12.31%E -7.16%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -13.33%E -7.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -4.66%E -2.49%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.10%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 17:04
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.68%E -3.07%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -13.10%E -3.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -6.19%E -3.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:04
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -6.19%E -3.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 17:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.23%E -4.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -11.29%E -6.49%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -15.30%E -3.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.38%EV -14.86%E -8.90%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.99%EV -17.50%E -4.67%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.63%EV -22.19%E -7.71%K -11.81%G +0.000%21.3%2026-03-22 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-03-22 17:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-03-22 17:00
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%2.3%2026-03-22 17:25