La escuela de los momios

Las Palmas v SD Huesca

Inicio: 2026-04-05 16:34 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Palmas (Local)

Predicción 60.33%1.66momio equitativo
EV -4.68%
Ventaja -2.96%
Kelly -8.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.65%60.31%60.28%61.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.521.5869.93%66.11%65.79%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SD Huesca (Visitante)

Predicción 16.05%6.23momio equitativo
EV +5.29%
Ventaja +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.44%16.06%16.12%17.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.755.786.5620.00%17.38%17.32%15.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.626%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.46%23.63%23.60%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.903.904.1530.30%25.63%25.64%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.52%EV -7.09%E -4.61%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.44%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.04%EV -6.93%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:29
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.00%EV -4.68%E -2.96%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.32%EV +0.959%E +0.152%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -3.86%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 16:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.28%E -3.37%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.28%E -3.37%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 16:29
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.68%E -2.96%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:29
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 16:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.90%E -5.90%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 16:29
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -8.30%E -5.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 16:26
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -8.30%E -5.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 16:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 16:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 16:30
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -11.32%E -7.70%K -24.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 16:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -13.13%E -9.12%K -29.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -3.70%E -0.616%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.74%EV -8.90%E -5.90%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.30%E -0.899%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:29
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 16:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 16:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 16:30
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.37%EV -10.11%E -6.79%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 16:30
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -10.71%E -7.24%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -6.91%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.89%E -3.77%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:30
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.49%E -4.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 16:29
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -5.89%E -3.77%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:29
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -5.89%E -3.77%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.49%E -4.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 16:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.59%EV -11.92%E -8.17%K -25.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.59%EV -11.92%E -8.17%K -25.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 16:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -13.13%E -9.12%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -7.71%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 16:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.49%E -4.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.49%E -4.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -8.51%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:29
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -13.73%E -9.60%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -10.12%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 16:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.30%E -5.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 16:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.89%EV -13.13%E -9.12%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.42%EV -11.72%E -2.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -22.05%E -6.68%K -9.59%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-05 16:30
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.66%EV -8.30%E -5.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.30%EV -10.71%E -7.24%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -13.33%E -2.47%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.30%E -5.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -12.52%E -8.64%K -27.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -14.93%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-05 16:30
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.73%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -7.70%E -5.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.73%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.73%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -9.51%E -6.34%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.73%E -3.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.51%EV -10.71%E -7.24%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -19.75%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 16:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-04-05 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-04-05 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-04-05 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-05 16:30
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-05 16:30
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.17%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-05 16:30