La escuela de los momios

Granada CF v SD Huesca

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Granada CF (Local)

Predicción 51.90%1.93momio equitativo
EV -5.03%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -6.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.07%52.02%51.82%53.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.761.751.8360.98%56.78%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SD Huesca (Visitante)

Predicción 20.11%4.97momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.388%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.75%20.03%20.19%21.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.554.505.0525.00%21.96%22.22%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -0.812%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%27.95%27.99%29.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.31%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.02%EV -6.07%E -3.35%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.00%EV +1.57%E +0.311%K +0.388%G +0.006%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 22:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV +0.564%E +0.113%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 12:54
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -7.63%E -4.28%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.564%E +0.113%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -7.63%E -4.28%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.564%E +0.113%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 12:49
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.24%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.03%E -0.580%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -10.74%E -6.24%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -1.45%E -0.295%K -0.371%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 07:24
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -2.45%E -0.506%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-28 02:04
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.66%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -3.46%E -0.721%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 22:05
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.66%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -3.46%E -0.721%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 22:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.46%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:45
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:44
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 11:39
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 11:40
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 11:39
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.43%E -0.994%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 11:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 12:15
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 11:40
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 11:39
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 11:39
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 11:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 19:23
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -8.49%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-23 00:14
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -8.49%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 01:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -9.70%E -5.58%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 11:39
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-28 01:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 11:39
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.38%EV -8.14%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 00:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.38%EV -8.14%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 22:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-25 11:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -8.14%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.83%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -11.26%E -6.58%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -11.26%E -6.58%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -9.49%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.38%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -11.50%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:50
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.50%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -11.50%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -11.50%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.50%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -10.99%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-26 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.13%EV -13.33%E -7.98%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.79%EV -11.50%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-27 22:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 22:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 22:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -8.66%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -13.52%E -3.14%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-28 00:25
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.53%E -3.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10%EV -10.74%E -6.24%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.54%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-28 00:25
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.84%EV -14.89%E -9.08%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.74%EV -17.54%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.42%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-28 01:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.33%E -7.98%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -19.55%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.03%EV -19.38%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-28 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:15
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:20
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.87%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-03-28 01:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 52.84%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.28%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.88%4.0%2026-03-27 22:40