La escuela de los momios

Granada CF v Andorra CF

Inicio: 2026-03-15 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Granada CF (Local)

Predicción 45.64%2.19momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.06%45.69%45.58%49.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.972.002.1255.56%50.82%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Andorra CF (Visitante)

Predicción 26.22%3.81momio equitativo
EV +3.55%
Ventaja +0.900%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.50%26.10%26.35%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.603.603.9531.25%27.78%27.78%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.15%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -0.837%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.79%28.21%28.06%30.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.243.273.4535.71%30.82%30.53%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +3.55%E +0.900%K +1.20%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +3.55%E +0.900%K +1.20%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +3.55%E +0.900%K +1.20%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +3.55%E +0.900%K +1.20%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +3.55%E +0.900%K +1.20%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV +2.24%E +0.575%K +0.773%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:10
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV +2.24%E +0.575%K +0.773%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -14.66%E -7.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +2.24%E +0.575%K +0.773%G +0.017%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:00
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -14.66%E -7.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +2.24%E +0.575%K +0.773%G +0.017%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:00
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -14.66%E -7.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +2.24%E +0.575%K +0.773%G +0.017%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -15.57%E -8.42%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV +2.24%E +0.575%K +0.773%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:10
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -15.57%E -8.42%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV +0.932%E +0.242%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -15.57%E -8.42%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV +0.932%E +0.242%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -3.25%E -1.53%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV +0.669%E +0.174%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -16.49%E -9.01%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -0.379%E -0.100%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -16.49%E -9.01%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -0.379%E -0.100%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 15:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.00%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.00%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 14:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -11.01%E -5.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -3.00%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -6.55%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 14:30
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -12.18%E -3.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:05
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -12.18%E -3.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:10
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 14:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 09:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.01%E -5.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 13:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 14:35
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 15:08
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 09:10
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.01%E -5.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.55%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 06:45
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.55%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 06:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.45%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 06:45
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 06:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.01%E -5.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.95%EV -11.47%E -5.91%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.45%EV -11.65%E -3.46%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.60%EV -9.08%E -2.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.64%E -4.87%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.18%E -3.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 06:45
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.71%EV -11.01%E -5.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.18%E -3.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.68%EV -9.36%E -2.91%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 06:45
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.34%EV -17.86%E -9.92%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.90%EV -12.18%E -3.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -18.37%E -6.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 14:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 15:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -11.92%E -6.18%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-15 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -21.19%E -7.57%K -11.77%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-15 12:39
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -11.47%E -5.91%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -16.11%E -5.03%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 06:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%0.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%0.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%0.1%2026-03-15 15:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%0.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-15 15:00