La escuela de los momios

Cultural Leonesa v Burgos CF

Inicio: 2026-05-24 16:32 UTC

Final: Cultural Leonesa 0–2 Burgos CF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV +2.06%
Ventaja +0.624%
Kelly +0.895%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%30.98%30.80%33.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.942.903.3038.46%34.05%34.48%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Burgos CF (Visitante)

Predicción 39.75%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.72%39.65%39.90%41.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.302.4646.51%43.01%43.38%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.981%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.37%29.30%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.093.3035.71%32.54%32.36%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV +2.06%E +0.624%K +0.895%G +0.018%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.56%E -4.69%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:30
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:29
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.35%EV -9.37%E -4.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 16:29
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 16:30
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:29
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:30
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.96%EV -8.17%E -3.54%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:29
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -5.98%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.14%EV -2.21%E -0.899%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.24%E -0.981%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 16:29
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:29
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:29
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:29
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.55%E -5.70%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.56%E -4.69%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.24%E -0.981%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:29
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -9.37%E -4.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.53%EV -9.69%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -12.55%E -5.70%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.95%EV -9.69%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:29
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:29
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:29
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 16:30
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.70%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.70%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:29
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.70%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.93%E -3.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.56%E -4.69%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 16:29
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:30
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -12.55%E -5.70%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:28
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 16:29
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:29
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 16:29
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -16.43%E -5.77%K -8.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:30
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.50%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.13%EV -11.35%E -5.09%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.37%EV -17.90%E -6.39%K -9.94%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -19.59%E -7.53%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -8.57%E -3.73%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-24 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%1.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 28.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.14%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%7.1%2026-05-24 16:30