La escuela de los momios

Córdoba v Granada CF

Inicio: 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Final: Córdoba 1–0 Granada CF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Córdoba (Local)

Predicción 57.01%1.75momio equitativo
EV -4.79%
Ventaja -2.87%
Kelly -7.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.71%57.01%57.09%58.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.611.611.6766.23%62.25%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Granada CF (Visitante)

Predicción 19.50%5.13momio equitativo
EV +0.428%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.103%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.63%19.52%19.46%20.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.744.755.1523.81%21.10%21.05%19.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.49%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.322%
Kelly -0.422%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.73%23.47%23.45%25.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.893.904.2030.30%25.73%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -5.36%E -3.23%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV +0.428%E +0.083%K +0.103%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.609%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 16:24
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.26%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.80%EV -1.52%E -0.301%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.94%EV -2.76%E -0.667%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:24
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:58
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:59
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.64%E -4.72%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 16:24
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.64%E -4.72%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 16:25
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.64%E -4.72%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -2.50%E -0.499%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 16:23
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.45%E -0.907%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:59
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.45%E -0.907%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:59
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.45%E -0.907%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:58
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.45%E -0.907%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:59
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.42%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 16:23
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.42%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 16:24
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -11.06%E -7.09%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -10.49%E -6.68%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -10.49%E -6.68%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 15:58
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.17%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.64%E -4.72%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:19
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 16:20
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 16:24
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 16:25
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -11.06%E -7.09%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -11.06%E -7.09%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 16:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -10.49%E -6.68%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 16:24
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 16:25
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -13.91%E -9.21%K -27.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-10 15:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -9.32%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.96%EV -9.32%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.79%E -2.87%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 16:24
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.64%E -4.72%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 16:25
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 16:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:24
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:24
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -10.49%E -6.68%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -15.44%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 16:24
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -13.34%E -8.78%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 15:59
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:24
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -7.07%E -4.34%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 16:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 16:24
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 16:24
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.19%EV -13.34%E -8.78%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.14%EV -9.35%E -5.88%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.06%EV -13.22%E -2.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 16:23
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.86%EV -11.06%E -7.09%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.27%EV -16.15%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -14.27%E -3.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.71%EV -12.77%E -8.35%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.93%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -22.49%E -6.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-10 16:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-10 16:24
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-10 16:24
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-10 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-05-10 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-05-10 16:25
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.97%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%2.1%2026-05-10 16:24