L’École des cotes

CD Mirandés v Real Valladolid CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prévision 30.08%3.32cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.406%
Kelly -0.584%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.85%30.16%30.11%33.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2836.36%33.45%33.33%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.29%2.48cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -0.886%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.13%40.26%40.29%41.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.302.302.4550.00%43.41%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.63%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -0.971%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%29.58%29.60%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.103.103.3036.36%32.27%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -1.33%E -0.406%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -4.11%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 14:40
BetOnline.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -2.53%E -0.782%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.38%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 14:15
LowVig.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -2.53%E -0.782%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.38%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 14:15
1xBet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.62%EV -2.53%E -0.782%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.67%EV -4.91%E -2.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 14:54
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:38
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 14:30
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -7.73%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -6.97%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:54
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -6.14%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.35%EV -8.13%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:30
BetAnything3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -6.14%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.35%EV -8.13%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:29
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 14:28
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 14:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 14:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 14:39
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.25%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:15
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.25%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:15
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 29.37%EV -8.85%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 14:14
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:39
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -7.73%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 14:15
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 14:29
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:29
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:15
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 14:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:54
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:55
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.08%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -19.42%E -9.71%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -18.53%E -6.74%K -10.59%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -10.15%E -4.55%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:15
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -12.57%E -5.79%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 14:28
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.53%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.37%EV -19.42%E -9.71%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.09%EV -18.53%E -6.74%K -10.59%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-22 14:39
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.36%E -4.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -4.11%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -1.28%E -0.524%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -1.28%E -0.524%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -1.28%E -0.524%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:29
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -1.28%E -0.524%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:30
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -1.28%E -0.524%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 14:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.77%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:29
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.77%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:29
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.77%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -15.77%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -17.27%E -6.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 14:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -17.27%E -6.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -4.11%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -17.27%E -6.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -17.27%E -6.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-03-22 14:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-03-22 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-03-22 14:29
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-03-22 14:29
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-03-22 14:40
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-03-22 14:40