Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andorra CF v CD Castellón

2026-10-11 12:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andorra CF (Casa)

Previsione 28.40%3.52quota equa
EV -0.901%
Vantaggio -0.258%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.98%28.56%28.09%31.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.003.4935.71%32.80%33.33%28.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CD Castellón (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.83%2.28quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -2.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.14%43.77%43.97%44.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.112.112.2054.05%47.42%47.39%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.550%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.34%27.67%27.94%28.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.373.403.5533.33%29.71%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Andorra CF (Casa): 28.40%; CD Castellón (Trasferta): 43.83%; Pareggio: 27.77%. Per Andorra CF (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.52. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.49, con un valore atteso del -0.901%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 26.98%EV -0.901%E -0.258%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.21%EV -6.64%E -3.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.80%EV -9.18%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -4.02%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.95%EV -9.27%E -4.48%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -6.12%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 19:45
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 19:15
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.55%EV -8.39%E -4.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.14%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.14%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.00%EV -11.02%E -5.43%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -11.68%E -3.67%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-04 19:14
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 19:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -13.40%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -12.34%E -6.17%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -13.40%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 44.98%EV -18.91%E -10.22%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -16.68%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -1.40%E -0.395%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -1.40%E -0.395%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -1.40%E -0.395%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -1.40%E -0.395%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -1.40%E -0.395%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-04 19:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 19:20
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -13.21%E -6.67%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-04 19:15
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -17.65%E -6.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 19:15
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -17.65%E -6.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -17.65%E -6.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 19:15
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -17.65%E -6.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -19.07%E -6.69%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-04 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -19.07%E -6.69%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -19.07%E -6.69%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 19:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -20.49%E -7.32%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-04 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.