L’École des cotes

Albacete v SD Eibar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Albacete (Local)

Prévision 30.84%3.24cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.26%30.92%30.81%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.902.903.1537.74%34.45%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SD Eibar (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.76%2.58cote équitable
EV +0.787%
Avantage +0.303%
Kelly +0.492%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%38.73%38.80%39.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.412.402.6047.62%41.54%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.40%3.29cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.850%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.11%30.34%30.40%31.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.013.003.2037.04%33.19%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV +0.787%E +0.303%K +0.492%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV +0.787%E +0.303%K +0.492%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:50
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV +0.787%E +0.303%K +0.492%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV +0.787%E +0.303%K +0.492%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV +0.787%E +0.303%K +0.492%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -15.20%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -15.20%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -15.20%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:54
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -15.20%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:50
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -2.87%E -0.910%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.95%EV -5.46%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -15.20%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 10:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -15.20%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 10:50
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.74%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.74%EV -5.15%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -3.86%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:34
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -3.86%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:34
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -16.74%E -6.20%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -3.86%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -16.74%E -6.20%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -3.86%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.03%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:24
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.03%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:34
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.03%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.72%E -0.850%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:39
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -18.28%E -6.90%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.30%EV -5.80%E -2.39%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 10:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.26%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.19%E -2.56%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -7.59%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:34
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.03%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 12:04
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 00:45
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:32
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:34
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 15:30
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.97%E -2.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.74%E -3.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:13
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.74%E -3.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:40
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.74%E -3.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 15:30
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.74%E -3.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 10:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:59
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:14
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:15
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.03%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:39
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.07%EV -10.07%E -4.34%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.03%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 19:14
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 18:59
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 04:04
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -11.50%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-22 04:04
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -11.50%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-22 04:05
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.03%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 19:14
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.03%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -9.71%E -3.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:14
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -13.36%E -4.69%K -7.22%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 03:49
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -14.72%E -6.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.43%EV -16.74%E -6.20%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.13%EV -18.59%E -8.85%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.43%EV -17.92%E -6.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%21.7%2026-04-23 18:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-04-24 00:45
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%2.3%2026-04-24 03:15