La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Albacete v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Albacete (Local)
Predicción 33.78%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.233%
Kelly -0.354%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.98%33.73%33.83%35.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.722.9439.22%36.67%36.76%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 39.48%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.83%39.50%39.43%40.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.312.302.4750.00%43.29%43.48%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.272%
Ventaja +0.072%
Kelly +0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.47%26.76%26.74%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.423.453.7534.72%29.21%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV +0.272%E +0.072%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.55%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.49%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.48%E -3.96%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.59%EV -3.05%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.03%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.88%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 20:21 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:08 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.09%E -2.19%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.83%E -2.89%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.48%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.71%EV -0.686%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.71%EV -0.686%E -0.233%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.12%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.12%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-25 20:21 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.04%E -0.702%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 05:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -10.48%E -3.96%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -8.40%E -3.62%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -11.96%E -5.36%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-25 20:21 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -11.96%E -5.36%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-25 20:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -10.48%E -3.96%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -10.48%E -3.96%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.86%E -5.44%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.48%E -3.96%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-27 21:08 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.92%EV -6.43%E -2.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 00:53 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.92%EV -6.43%E -2.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.50%E -4.39%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-25 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -5.42%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.79%E -3.26%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.08%EV -10.48%E -3.96%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.49%EV -17.09%E -8.14%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.43%EV -17.11%E -5.52%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 30.98%EV -11.16%E -4.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 40.73%EV -21.04%E -10.52%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.29%EV -22.99%E -7.98%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 22.7% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.71% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |