L’École des cotes

Mallorca v Oviedo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Mallorca 3–0 Oviedo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mallorca (Local)

Prévision 64.84%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -5.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.33%64.87%64.83%66.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.451.441.5071.94%68.97%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oviedo (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.67%7.32cote équitable
EV +9.36%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.125%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.11%13.69%13.66%14.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.256.927.008.0016.00%14.46%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.49%4.65cote équitable
EV -0.088%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.40%21.44%21.51%24.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.364.384.6527.78%22.92%22.86%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 66.22%EV -3.38%E -2.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%EV +9.36%E +1.17%K +1.34%G +0.125%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%EV -1.16%E -0.253%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.22%EV -3.38%E -2.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%EV +9.36%E +1.17%K +1.34%G +0.125%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%EV -1.16%E -0.253%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.22%EV -3.38%E -2.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%EV +9.36%E +1.17%K +1.34%G +0.125%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%EV -1.16%E -0.253%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +9.36%E +1.17%K +1.34%G +0.125%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV -1.16%E -0.253%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.67%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +2.52%E +0.336%K +0.388%G +0.010%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:49
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.52%E +0.336%K +0.388%G +0.010%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.96%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 17:48
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.52%E +0.336%K +0.388%G +0.010%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.96%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:38
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -4.68%E -3.18%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.86%EV +1.16%E +0.156%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -8.68%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:10
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -4.68%E -3.18%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.86%EV +1.16%E +0.156%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -8.68%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:10
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -4.68%E -3.18%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.27%EV -0.212%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.83%EV -0.088%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.38%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV -0.895%E -0.123%K -0.143%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.27%EV -2.24%E -0.492%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.40%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.37%EV -1.03%E -0.143%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.23%EV -2.02%E -0.443%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.40%EV -7.92%E -5.58%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.10%EV -1.58%E -0.219%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -1.16%E -0.253%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.87%EV -3.38%E -2.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.65%EV -3.22%E -0.455%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 17:50
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.73%E -1.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 17:49
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -3.38%E -2.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.08%EV -5.33%E -3.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -4.39%E -0.985%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:29
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 16:09
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.92%E -5.58%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:09
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 17:49
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -9.22%E -6.58%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.31%E -0.616%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.96%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.66%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.07%EV -7.05%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -8.57%E -6.08%K -20.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -7.27%E -5.09%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -7.27%E -5.09%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -7.27%E -5.09%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.57%E -6.08%K -20.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.57%E -6.08%K -20.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.86%EV -9.87%E -7.10%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -7.73%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.57%EV -4.39%E -0.985%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:48
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.69%EV -2.73%E -1.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.44%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.87%EV -0.088%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -2.73%E -1.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.736%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:48
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 17:49
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -6.96%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.16%E -0.253%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.98%E -4.12%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 17:49
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -7.27%E -5.09%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.92%E -5.58%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -9.22%E -6.58%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -11.15%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -22.65%E -6.29%K -8.71%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 64.09%EV -9.22%E -6.58%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.02%EV -12.51%E -1.96%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -7.92%E -5.58%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -13.88%E -2.20%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -14.56%E -2.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -8.68%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -14.56%E -2.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -8.68%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.52%EV -7.92%E -5.58%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.56%E -2.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.86%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%1.1%2026-05-23 17:49
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-23 18:49