La scuola delle quote

Mallorca v Espanyol

Inizio: 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mallorca (Casa)

Previsione 38.79%2.58quota equa
EV +0.843%
Vantaggio +0.324%
Kelly +0.527%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.72%38.78%38.76%40.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.452.6043.48%41.01%40.82%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Espanyol (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.65%3.26quota equa
EV +0.540%
Vantaggio +0.165%
Kelly +0.237%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.60%30.67%30.67%31.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.063.053.2835.71%32.65%32.79%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.56%3.27quota equa
EV -0.981%
Vantaggio -0.303%
Kelly -0.438%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.26%30.54%30.57%31.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.093.103.2435.71%32.39%32.26%30.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%EV +0.843%E +0.324%K +0.527%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-15 12:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.10%E -0.430%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 12:15
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.10%E -0.430%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 12:05
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.10%E -0.430%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 12:15
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.65%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.32%EV -1.61%E -0.500%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.50%EV -2.52%E -0.794%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.43%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 12:35
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 04:32
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.14%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.91%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.96%EV -0.981%E -0.303%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.52%E -0.794%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 23:00
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.52%E -0.794%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 23:00
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 12:25
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 12:25
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.27%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 12:15
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.27%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 12:15
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.27%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 12:15
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.27%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 12:15
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.94%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -4.06%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.34%EV -3.12%E -0.984%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 12:29
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 12:30
Coolbet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.47%EV -4.59%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.60%EV +0.540%E +0.165%K +0.237%G +0.001%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.92%EV -4.04%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 12:54
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 12:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 12:05
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 12:05
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -1.91%E -0.597%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 12:04
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.20%E -0.689%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 12:15
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.34%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:35
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.34%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:15
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 09:55
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:10
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:55
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.20%E -0.689%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 12:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -2.20%E -0.689%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:05
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:05
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:25
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:05
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:15
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:15
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:15
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 22:45
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.15%EV -8.08%E -3.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 12:04
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.57%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -9.63%E -4.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.73%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -14.17%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-15 12:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-15 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-15 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.2%2026-03-15 12:55