默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Málaga v Levante

2026-09-06 16:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Málaga (主队)

预测 43.87%2.28公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -2.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.05%43.93%43.70%46.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.43%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Levante (客队)

预测 27.26%3.67公平赔率
EV +3.86%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.37%
增长率 +0.053%

假设最高赔率为 3.81

博彩公司预测分布
25.48%27.15%27.50%29.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.443.453.8133.90%29.04%28.99%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.87%3.46公平赔率
EV +1.06%
优势 +0.301%
Kelly +0.422%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
28.14%28.92%28.80%29.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.233.203.5033.33%30.98%31.25%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Málaga (主队):43.87%;Levante (客队):27.26%;平局:28.87%。 对于“Levante (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.67。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.81,由此产生+3.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%EV -6.13%E -2.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.85%EV +3.86%E +1.01%K +1.37%G +0.053%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%EV +1.06%E +0.301%K +0.422%G +0.004%1.5%2026-08-30 09:25
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV +0.864%E +0.234%K +0.320%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 12:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 10:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -12.27%E -6.13%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -1.86%E -0.517%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 09:24
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 09:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 12:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -7.00%E -3.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 09:35
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.01%EV -6.56%E -3.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.81%EV -8.18%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -14.13%E -4.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.05%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -19.58%E -6.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-30 13:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20%6.0%2026-08-30 12:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.81%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.29%16.1%2026-08-30 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 19.08%1.07I 93.46%NM 40.65%1.08I 92.59%NM 40.27%129.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 19.08%1.07I 93.46%NM 40.65%1.08I 92.59%NM 40.27%129.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 19.08%1.07I 93.46%NM 40.65%1.08I 92.59%NM 40.27%129.9%2026-08-30 12:25