La escuela de los momios

Levante v Sevilla

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Levante 2–0 Sevilla

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levante (Local)

Predicción 39.23%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.422%
Ventaja +0.165%
Kelly +0.271%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.41%39.25%39.19%40.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.422.402.5643.86%41.31%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sevilla (Visitante)

Predicción 31.22%3.20momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.725%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.30%31.16%31.28%32.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1337.04%33.28%33.33%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.754%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%29.60%29.53%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.203.3035.71%31.54%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%EV +0.422%E +0.165%K +0.271%G +0.001%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.55%EV -6.95%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -3.08%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.40%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.42%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 16:04
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.40%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.42%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 16:05
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.40%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.42%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.93%E -0.773%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -1.93%E -0.773%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 16:04
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 39.06%EV -2.32%E -0.933%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.47%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%EV -2.49%E -0.754%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 16:35
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.06%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.05%EV -2.58%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.90%EV -4.26%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 16:29
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:05
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:05
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:05
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.63%EV -3.50%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.27%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 16:25
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.27%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 16:25
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:04
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:44
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:04
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 06:09
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 39.32%EV -5.46%E -2.27%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:53
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.49%E -0.754%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.30%EV -2.58%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.30%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:04
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 05:34
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:50
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:05
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:24
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:20
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:20
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:04
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:44
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.49%E -0.754%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:25
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:25
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:25
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:25
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:25
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -15.70%E -5.81%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -17.26%E -6.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 16:05
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -10.56%E -4.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:53
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.36%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.40%0.0%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-23 16:55
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-04-23 16:00