La escuela de los momios

Levante v Oviedo

Inicio: 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levante (Local)

Predicción 40.98%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%41.04%40.98%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.31%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oviedo (Visitante)

Predicción 29.43%3.40momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.419%
Kelly -0.597%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.59%29.40%29.45%30.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.3534.72%31.24%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.59%29.56%29.57%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.173.203.3036.36%31.53%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.56%EV -1.64%E -0.683%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 16:40
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.55%EV -1.64%E -0.683%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.23%EV -1.99%E -0.598%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.22%EV -4.74%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 17:19
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -1.64%E -0.683%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -1.40%E -0.419%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 16:49
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.64%E -0.683%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.78%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.78%EV -3.55%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 16:39
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:09
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:09
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 41.07%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.55%EV -2.96%E -0.903%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 16:44
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.96%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.96%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -2.37%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:15
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -3.76%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 17:25
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.38%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.42%EV -7.69%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:17
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:09
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:14
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:14
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:15
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:15
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 16:40
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 16:33
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.37%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:45
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:24
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:14
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:24
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:40
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:39
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 16:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:14
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:14
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:24
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:24
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:24
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:24
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:14
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:14
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 17:24
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:14
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.37%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.37%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.88%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:14
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.81%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:20
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 16:39
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.33%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 16:34
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.29%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -9.02%E -4.06%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -5.23%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.74%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.77%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -15.24%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -18.64%E -6.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-21 17:24
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-21 17:14
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-21 17:09