默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Levante v Mallorca

开赛时间: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Levante 2–0 Mallorca

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Levante (主队)

预测 44.90%2.23公平赔率
EV -0.328%
优势 -0.148%
Kelly -0.269%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
43.79%44.95%44.87%46.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.102.102.2250.00%47.69%47.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mallorca (客队)

预测 27.48%3.64公平赔率
EV +3.07%
优势 +0.818%
Kelly +1.12%
增长率 +0.034%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.67%27.31%27.54%29.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.24%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -0.551%
Kelly -0.767%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.67%27.73%27.58%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.413.423.5532.26%29.37%29.20%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Levante (主队):44.90%;Mallorca (客队):27.48%;平局:27.62%。 对于“Mallorca (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.64。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+3.07%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.72%EV -2.57%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV +3.07%E +0.818%K +1.12%G +0.034%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.41%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV +3.07%E +0.818%K +1.12%G +0.034%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -8.03%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 08:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -3.92%E -1.83%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.318%E +0.087%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -3.92%E -1.83%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV +0.318%E +0.087%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 02:10
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.22%EV -3.02%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.39%EV -0.506%E -0.140%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 14:50
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.22%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:55
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:55
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%EV -0.328%E -0.148%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.55%EV -1.61%E -0.448%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.78%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -2.12%E -0.974%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -3.25%E -0.925%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.95%E -0.551%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.95%E -0.551%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.95%E -0.551%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.95%E -0.551%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.27%E -2.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 06:55
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 06:54
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 06:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:05
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 05:31
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:55
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:55
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:55
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.82%E -2.27%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:30
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 05:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 08:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 05:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 03:24
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.61%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 08:10
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.06%E -3.41%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.06%E -3.41%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.06%E -3.41%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 08:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 05:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.21%E -5.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 06:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.47%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 06:15
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 06:15
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.96%E -3.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -8.41%E -4.12%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -8.41%E -4.12%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -8.41%E -4.12%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%1.1%2026-05-17 03:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-05-17 08:15