La escuela de los momios

Levante v CA Osasuna

Inicio: 2026-05-08 19:00 UTC

Final: Levante 3–2 CA Osasuna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levante (Local)

Predicción 37.44%2.67momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.700%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%37.47%37.45%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6441.67%39.62%40.00%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Osasuna (Visitante)

Predicción 33.55%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.651%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.325%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.21%33.57%33.58%35.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.822.823.0040.00%35.41%35.46%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.453%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%28.96%28.97%30.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.233.4134.72%31.05%30.96%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -1.52%E -0.579%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +0.651%E +0.217%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 18:50
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -1.52%E -0.579%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +0.651%E +0.217%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 18:50
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -1.52%E -0.579%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +0.651%E +0.217%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV +0.651%E +0.217%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 18:49
Coolbet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.51%EV -3.02%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05%EV -1.36%E -0.463%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 18:54
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.19%EV -1.70%E -0.579%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.68%EV -1.67%E -0.493%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 18:40
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -2.70%E -0.932%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 04:10
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -2.70%E -0.932%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:50
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -2.70%E -0.932%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:49
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -2.70%E -0.932%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:49
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -2.70%E -0.932%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:49
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -2.70%E -0.932%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:55
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.15%E -0.435%K -0.700%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -3.04%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 18:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:49
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:54
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%EV -1.90%E -0.724%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%EV -1.90%E -0.724%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 18:49
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.19%EV -6.31%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 12:05
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:49
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.14%E -2.88%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:49
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.14%E -2.88%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.14%E -2.88%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.39%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -5.39%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:44
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.39%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -5.39%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:44
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:49
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:49
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:50
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.92%EV -3.77%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.89%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:48
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.38%E -0.406%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:04
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:49
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:49
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:44
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:50
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:49
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 04:10
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.06%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:24
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.85%EV -1.52%E -0.579%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.73%EV -6.39%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.42%EV -1.09%E -0.320%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 18:49
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.38%E -0.406%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:49
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:50
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -1.38%E -0.406%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:50
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.28%EV -7.51%E -3.04%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.74%E -2.81%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 04:10
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -9.41%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.38%E -0.406%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:49
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.41%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:49
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.41%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -12.10%E -4.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -16.12%E -6.45%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.46%E -5.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-08 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.6%2026-05-08 18:55
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.6%2026-05-08 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-05-08 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-05-08 18:54
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.4%2026-05-08 18:50
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-08 18:50