La escuela de los momios

Getafe v Barcelona

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 18.11%5.52momio equitativo
EV +6.84%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.06%18.11%18.03%19.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.245.255.9021.05%19.07%19.05%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barcelona (Visitante)

Predicción 57.99%1.72momio equitativo
EV +0.896%
Ventaja +0.515%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.39%57.94%58.04%59.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.7464.52%61.52%61.73%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.90%4.18momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.485%
Kelly -0.642%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.15%23.95%23.93%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.913.954.1028.57%25.57%25.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +6.84%E +1.16%K +1.40%G +0.096%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.96%EV -8.38%E -5.31%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:25
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.76%EV +3.22%E +0.565%K +0.686%G +0.022%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.35%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:50
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%EV +1.41%E +0.252%K +0.307%G +0.004%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:39
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%EV +1.41%E +0.252%K +0.307%G +0.004%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%EV +1.41%E +0.252%K +0.307%G +0.004%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:40
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%EV +1.41%E +0.252%K +0.307%G +0.004%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:40
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:10
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:10
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:39
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:50
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 19:49
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:50
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -2.21%E -0.409%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:40
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -2.21%E -0.409%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -2.21%E -0.409%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:40
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -2.21%E -0.409%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:40
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -2.21%E -0.409%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 18.06%EV -4.02%E -0.759%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.01%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:55
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -4.02%E -0.759%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:14
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -4.02%E -0.759%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -9.54%E -6.12%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:14
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:09
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.73%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:23
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:05
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:05
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.93%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:04
1xBet5.23I 19.12%NM 18.84%EV -5.29%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64%EV +0.896%E +0.515%K +1.21%G +0.011%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.52%EV -3.90%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -5.83%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -5.83%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -5.83%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Marathon Bet5.15I 19.42%NM 18.82%EV -6.74%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.69%EV -0.844%E -0.494%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.48%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Bovada5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV -6.74%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.88%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:00
BetUS5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV -6.74%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.88%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:05
Pinnacle5.13I 19.49%NM 18.46%EV -7.10%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.06%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.48%EV -7.49%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV -7.64%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.87%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -1.99%E -0.485%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:05
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:05
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:05
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:05
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:04
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:04
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:25
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:00
NetBet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:39
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.33%E -4.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 21:05
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -10.36%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -2.58%E -1.54%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:00
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -11.27%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:00
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -12.17%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -12.75%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -13.98%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -1.42%E -0.838%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:50
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -13.98%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-04-24 01:50
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-04-24 02:05
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.86%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-24 03:50