L’École des cotes

Espanyol v Levante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Espanyol (Local)

Prévision 47.40%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.33%47.49%47.30%49.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.992.002.0852.36%50.29%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Levante (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.97%4.00cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +0.876%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.09%24.88%25.02%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.783.754.1529.41%26.46%26.67%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.783%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.55%27.64%27.68%29.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.5231.25%29.46%29.41%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 49.14%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV +3.64%E +0.876%K +1.15%G +0.042%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 00:25
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV +1.14%E +0.281%K +0.373%G +0.004%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.84%EV -4.14%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 19:10
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.30%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV +1.14%E +0.281%K +0.373%G +0.004%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.84%EV -4.14%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 19:10
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.52%EV -1.88%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.53%EV +0.140%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.76%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -3.30%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -0.110%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:35
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -3.30%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -0.110%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:35
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -3.30%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -0.110%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:34
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.25%E -2.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -0.110%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -0.110%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 20:05
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -3.30%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.36%E -0.344%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -4.41%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -1.36%E -0.344%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:15
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.36%E -0.344%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.36%E -0.344%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.36%E -0.344%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:35
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.36%E -0.344%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:34
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -4.25%E -2.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -2.11%E -0.538%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -8.00%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -4.25%E -2.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -2.61%E -0.668%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.74%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:14
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -4.25%E -2.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -2.61%E -0.668%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.74%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.09%E -3.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.61%E -0.668%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:35
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.09%E -3.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.61%E -0.668%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.09%E -3.62%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.61%E -0.668%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:35
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.61%E -0.668%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:34
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -8.04%E -4.15%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 02:35
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.95%EV -3.78%E -1.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.25%E -2.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:34
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.52%E -4.41%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 01:15
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -1.41%E -0.676%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:04
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:15
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 02:35
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 02:34
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.15%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.10%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:29
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.15%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.15%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:45
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.15%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.31%E -0.945%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:30
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -4.25%E -2.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.60%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:15
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.52%E -4.41%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.46%E -4.95%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 19:04
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:45
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%4.5%2026-04-24 03:30