L’École des cotes

Espanyol v Getafe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Espanyol (Local)

Prévision 38.33%2.61cote équitable
EV -0.337%
Avantage -0.130%
Kelly -0.211%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.77%38.41%38.32%39.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.462.452.6042.55%40.68%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.26%3.54cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.480%
Kelly +0.665%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.21%28.27%29.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.83%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.41%2.99cote équitable
EV +0.230%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.115%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.91%33.38%33.41%35.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.822.803.0040.00%35.52%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV +1.73%E +0.480%K +0.665%G +0.012%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.25%E -0.884%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.25%E -0.884%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.25%E -0.884%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 15:00
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.03%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.03%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.59%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.85%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 15:00
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:34
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -1.10%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:35
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -3.79%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.23%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -1.10%E -0.428%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.04%EV -4.45%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 15:04
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.18%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 14:14
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.94%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.94%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.94%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.94%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.18%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:08
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:10
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:35
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -2.44%E -0.837%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:09
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -2.44%E -0.837%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (FR)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:09
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -6.85%E -2.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:00
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV +0.230%E +0.077%K +0.115%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:04
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:09
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:29
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:20
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:00
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.337%E -0.130%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -7.60%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:10
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:20
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -2.25%E -0.884%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -3.78%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -8.77%E -3.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -16.48%E -6.59%K -10.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%0.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%0.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%1.1%2026-03-21 15:09
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.67%1.7%2026-03-21 15:10