مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elche CF v Alavés

البداية: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Elche CF 1–1 Alavés

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elche CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.76%2.39السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -0.796%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.26%41.73%41.79%42.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.32%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alavés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.66%3.49السعر العادل
EV +0.316%
الأفضلية +0.090%
Kelly +0.126%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.71%28.69%28.64%30.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.60%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.58%3.38السعر العادل
EV +0.575%
الأفضلية +0.169%
Kelly +0.240%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.98%29.58%29.57%30.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.30%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +0.575%E +0.169%K +0.240%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-09 11:29
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.43%EV -1.87%E -0.796%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%EV -2.55%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 11:24
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.91%EV -5.63%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV +0.316%E +0.090%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.74%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 11:04
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.74%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 11:29
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.96%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 11:24
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.38%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:54
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.95%EV -3.54%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -2.55%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.55%EV -2.97%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.09%EV -3.54%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -1.12%E -0.324%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 11:34
Coolbet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.39%EV -4.38%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV +0.316%E +0.090%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.40%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -0.544%E -0.157%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 11:44
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.40%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -0.544%E -0.157%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 11:44
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 11:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 11:38
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 11:54
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.96%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:04
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:24
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 11:24
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.96%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:49
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.55%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:44
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 42.00%EV -5.63%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:31
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:24
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:24
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:29
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:29
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 11:54
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 11:04
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 11:24
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.96%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 11:24
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 11:24
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 08:59
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 08:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.72%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 11:54
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.55%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 11:54
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -6.88%E -3.09%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:24
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -6.88%E -3.09%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:24
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 11:24
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 11:24
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.96%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 11:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.55%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:44
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.55%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:44
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.05%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 11:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.96%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:29
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -4.79%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 11:04
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 11:54
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 11:24
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.72%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 11:49
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 06:59
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.88%E -3.09%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.24%EV -9.19%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 11:53
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -7.30%E -3.29%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.31%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-09 11:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28%0.1%2026-05-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-05-09 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-05-09 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.5%2026-05-09 11:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-09 11:34
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-05-09 05:35