L’École des cotes

CA Osasuna v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Score final : CA Osasuna 1–1 Real Betis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prévision 42.47%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.96%42.53%42.45%43.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3247.62%45.45%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.46%3.39cote équitable
EV -0.426%
Avantage -0.126%
Kelly -0.179%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.34%29.50%29.47%32.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.203.203.3837.04%31.27%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.07%3.56cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.296%
Kelly +0.410%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%27.98%28.08%29.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.54%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.99%EV +1.07%E +0.296%K +0.410%G +0.004%2.9%2026-04-12 10:49
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -3.18%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -0.338%E -0.095%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -0.338%E -0.095%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 09:00
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.338%E -0.095%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 09:00
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 09:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 07:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 07:54
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.50%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.17%EV -0.426%E -0.126%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.33%EV -2.30%E -0.662%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:10
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.77%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -2.49%E -0.752%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.77%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -2.49%E -0.752%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 09:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 09:00
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 09:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 07:40
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.49%EV -3.18%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -2.19%E -0.661%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.32%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.89%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 10:58
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:48
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:59
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.74%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:37
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 11:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 09:00
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:00
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -9.12%E -4.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 09:25
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 09:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 10:50
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 10:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 10:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:49
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 05:39
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 05:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 10:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 10:50
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 10:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 10:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -20.46%E -7.58%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-27 07:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.16%E -5.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.15%E -6.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-12 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-12 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-12 11:00