La escuela de los momios

CA Osasuna v Mallorca

Inicio: 2026-03-07 13:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Predicción 50.19%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.55%50.23%50.25%51.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.20%53.19%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mallorca (Visitante)

Predicción 21.88%4.57momio equitativo
EV +0.638%
Ventaja +0.139%
Kelly +0.177%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.00%21.88%21.84%23.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.304.6025.00%23.27%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.852%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.334%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.64%27.89%27.92%29.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.353.5533.33%29.76%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +0.638%E +0.139%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 12:57
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV +0.638%E +0.139%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV +0.638%E +0.139%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 12:59
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.89%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.18%EV +0.419%E +0.091%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.93%EV -2.81%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 12:59
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.456%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 12:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.81%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.38%EV -0.675%E -0.149%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 12:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 13:00
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -5.60%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -1.55%E -0.344%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.92%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 13:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.92%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 13:00
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.92%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 12:57
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 12:59
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.24%EV -7.64%E -4.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 13:00
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 13:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 13:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 13:00
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -5.27%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 13:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 13:00
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 13:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:00
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.85%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 12:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 13:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 12:59
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:58
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 12:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 13:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 13:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 12:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 12:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.11%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:58
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.30%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -0.852%E -0.240%K -0.334%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:59
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:59
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 13:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:00
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -9.65%E -5.36%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-07 13:00
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.0%2026-03-07 13:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-03-07 13:00