L’École des cotes

CA Osasuna v Barcelona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 19:00 UTC

Score final : CA Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prévision 19.99%5.00cote équitable
EV +2.94%
Avantage +0.572%
Kelly +0.709%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%19.98%19.99%21.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.764.805.1523.26%21.01%20.83%19.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barcelona (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.27%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.88%57.28%57.32%58.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.651.651.7065.36%60.76%60.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.74%4.40cote équitable
EV +0.039%
Avantage +0.009%
Kelly +0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%22.74%22.69%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.124.104.4028.57%24.30%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.94%E +0.572%K +0.709%G +0.021%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.91%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.31%EV -5.65%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:55
BetOnline.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.94%E +0.572%K +0.709%G +0.021%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.91%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.31%EV -5.65%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:55
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.74%EV +1.94%E +0.381%K +0.474%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 18:55
1xBet5.01I 19.96%NM 19.36%EV +0.146%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.08%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.23%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 18:50
Marathon Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.76%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 18:35
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.76%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.99%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -4.92%E -2.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 18:45
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -4.92%E -2.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.23%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:45
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Bally Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:45
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:45
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:45
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:55
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.36%E -5.23%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:45
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.36%E -5.23%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:45
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.054%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -2.05%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 18:49
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -2.05%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -10.65%E -6.83%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:45
Pinnacle4.88I 20.49%NM 19.82%EV -2.45%E -0.503%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -2.69%E -0.628%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:45
BetUS4.85I 20.62%NM 19.71%EV -3.05%E -0.629%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.25%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%EV -5.65%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 18:50
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -1.55%E -0.359%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:55
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.36%E -5.23%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.36%E -5.23%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 18:43
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:45
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:51
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.76%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.65%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:38
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -5.65%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:40
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -5.65%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:40
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.05%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:55
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:55
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV +0.039%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:50
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 18:50
Fliff4.55I 21.98%NM 20.15%EV -9.05%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 18:50
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:06
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 18:49
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:06
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:05
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.33%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:40
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.35%E -2.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.33%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:40
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -12.37%E -8.08%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.42%E -5.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 18:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -2.23%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -11.33%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:05
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -11.33%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:05
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -4.92%E -2.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:55
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -13.45%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.36%E -5.23%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -14.05%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%0.3%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%0.3%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-05-02 18:45
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-05-02 18:45
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.8%2026-05-02 18:50
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-05-02 18:40