L’École des cotes

Athletic Bilbao v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Local)

Prévision 46.97%2.13cote équitable
EV +0.981%
Avantage +0.456%
Kelly +0.853%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.60%46.94%46.94%48.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.022.012.1553.19%49.45%49.75%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV +0.103%
Avantage +0.027%
Kelly +0.036%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%25.92%25.95%27.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.603.8630.30%27.85%27.78%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -0.007%
Avantage -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.06%27.14%27.11%29.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.453.453.6934.72%29.01%28.99%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.22%EV +0.981%E +0.456%K +0.853%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.74%EV -0.428%E -0.202%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -0.428%E -0.202%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -0.428%E -0.202%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:04
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.18%EV -1.84%E -0.879%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.27%EV -0.934%E -0.244%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -8.41%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 17:24
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:04
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:00
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:00
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:00
Coolbet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.91%EV -2.78%E -1.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.04%EV -3.27%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.05%EV -2.72%E -0.757%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -3.25%E -1.58%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -3.25%E -1.58%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:04
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -3.25%E -1.58%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:04
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.53%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.45%E -0.679%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 17:04
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.53%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.45%E -0.679%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 17:05
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -3.27%E -0.876%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 17:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.45%E -0.679%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:49
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:45
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.58%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.58%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:14
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.86%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:20
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.92%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.20%EV +0.103%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -1.90%E -0.526%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 17:04
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 17:04
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.45%E -0.679%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 17:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:09
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 16:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 16:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:09
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:04
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.58%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 47.64%EV -6.53%E -3.28%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:13
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 17:20
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.45%E -0.679%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.15%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 17:20
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:59
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -8.88%E -4.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -3.53%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-22 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -11.70%E -6.22%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.58%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%0.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%0.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%0.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-22 17:10