預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

RSD Alcalá v Las Palmas

開賽時間: 2026-10-27 19:00 UTC

最終賽果: RSD Alcalá 1–3 Las Palmas

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

17 家博彩公司 (2 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

RSD Alcalá (主隊)

預測 14.53%6.88公平賠率
EV +1.74%
優勢 +0.248%
Kelly +0.289%
成長率 +0.005%

假設最高賠率為 7.00

博彩公司預測分布
12.92%14.53%14.53%15.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.756.296.107.0017.39%15.90%16.39%14.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Las Palmas (客隊)

預測 66.16%1.51公平賠率
EV -4.07%
優勢 -2.81%
Kelly -9.05%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.45

博彩公司預測分布
64.03%66.16%66.16%67.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.411.411.4573.53%70.80%70.92%68.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.31%5.18公平賠率
EV -3.45%
優勢 -0.690%
Kelly -0.862%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布
18.36%19.31%19.31%20.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.404.664.705.0022.73%21.48%21.28%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:RSD Alcalá (主隊):14.53%;Las Palmas (客隊):66.16%;和局:19.31%。 對於「RSD Alcalá (主隊)」,該估計相當於6.88的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.00,對應+1.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 18:55
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 18:55
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -10.03%E -7.37%K -27.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.04%E -3.42%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:49
1xBet🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.13%EV -3.93%E -0.595%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -10.21%E -2.20%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -7.31%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 18:50
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 18:50
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.03%E -7.37%K -27.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 18:37
Pinnacle🎯6.38I 15.67%NM 14.54%EV -7.28%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.73%EV -8.04%E -5.79%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -4.41%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 18:55
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.67%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -13.10%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 18:40
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.43%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.16%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -13.10%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.43%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.16%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -13.10%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.43%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.04%E -3.42%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.43%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.04%E -3.42%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 18:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.1%2026-10-27 18:55