L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Damac v Al-Fayha
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Damac (Local)
Prévision 49.97%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.62%49.94%50.01%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.811.801.9858.48%55.23%55.56%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Fayha (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.32%4.29cote équitable
EV -0.441%
Avantage -0.103%
Kelly -0.135%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%23.28%23.25%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.984.004.2727.78%25.14%25.00%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.839%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.63%26.78%26.73%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6333.33%29.73%29.41%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.04%EV -1.05%E -0.530%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.21%EV -6.50%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.75%EV -3.04%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-15 16:10 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.27%EV -0.441%E -0.103%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -10.79%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 15:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.05%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.40%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 15:55 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.40%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.53%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.40%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.53%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.40%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.53%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.40%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.53%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.05%E -5.58%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.57%EV -10.05%E -5.58%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -10.05%E -5.58%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.40%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.53%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-15 15:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.05%E -5.58%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -16.06%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.87%E -6.62%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-15 15:56 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.04%E -6.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -7.90%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.54%E -6.52%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.54%E -6.52%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -2.07%E -0.494%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -12.04%E -6.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-15 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.54%E -7.17%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -16.06%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-15 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -13.54%E -7.83%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -13.54%E -7.83%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -4.40%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -14.04%E -8.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -10.23%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-15 15:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.40%EV -14.54%E -8.50%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 15:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 16:10 |