Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Fateh v Al-Ittihad

Inizio: 2026-08-29 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Fateh 0–0 Al-Ittihad

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Fateh (Casa)

Previsione 30.36%3.29quota equa
EV +9.29%
Vantaggio +2.58%
Kelly +3.57%
Crescita +0.332%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.91%30.15%30.33%31.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.043.043.6037.04%32.85%32.89%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Ittihad (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.25%2.21quota equa
EV -4.97%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -4.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.68%45.49%45.37%48.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.991.982.1052.63%50.20%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.39%4.10quota equa
EV -1.70%
Vantaggio -0.421%
Kelly -0.560%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.60%24.36%24.30%25.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.603.554.0330.30%27.76%28.17%24.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Fateh (Casa): 30.36%; Al-Ittihad (Trasferta): 45.25%; Pareggio: 24.39%. Per Al-Fateh (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.29. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.29%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV +9.29%E +2.58%K +3.57%G +0.332%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.93%EV -10.40%E -5.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.16%EV -2.19%E -0.545%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +0.178%E +0.054%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -12.67%E -6.56%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.86%E -0.893%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.97%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:45
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.86%E -0.893%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.97%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:45
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -4.38%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.59%E -4.25%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.59%E -4.25%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.59%E -4.25%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.59%E -4.25%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.59%E -4.25%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.59%E -4.25%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 17:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 17:51
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.88%EV -6.50%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.51%EV -5.43%E -2.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -1.70%E -0.421%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 17:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.72%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -17.06%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -14.02%E -7.38%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.31%E -5.77%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -17.06%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.93%E -2.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.31%E -5.77%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -17.06%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -10.45%E -3.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.32%EV -10.40%E -5.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 17:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.44%EV -11.96%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.69%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -19.50%E -5.91%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-29 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -12.57%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -4.97%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.55%EV -12.88%E -4.49%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.28%EV -9.02%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:44
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -18.04%E -6.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-29 17:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-29 17:45
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-29 17:45