La escuela de los momios

Santa Clara v Rio Ave FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 17:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santa Clara (Local)

Predicción 54.03%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -4.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.96%54.05%54.02%56.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.72%57.80%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rio Ave FC (Visitante)

Predicción 19.16%5.22momio equitativo
EV +4.63%
Ventaja +0.849%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.67%19.21%19.13%20.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.794.755.4623.09%20.87%21.05%18.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.025%
Ventaja -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.67%26.74%26.85%27.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.403.7332.26%29.14%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.67%EV +4.63%E +0.849%K +1.04%G +0.048%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.49%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 16:59
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.63%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +1.57%E +0.296%K +0.364%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:59
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV +0.609%E +0.116%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 16:59
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.350%E -0.067%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.350%E -0.067%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -9.76%E -5.85%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.350%E -0.067%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 17:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.60%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -0.350%E -0.067%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -4.18%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.18%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.18%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.18%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -7.60%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.47%EV -5.39%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 17:00
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.24%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV -5.72%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -0.025%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -6.10%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.84%EV -0.829%E -0.224%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 17:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -6.10%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 17:00
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.10%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:00
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 16:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 17:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:59
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.75%EV -8.59%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:59
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:00
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.76%E -5.85%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -8.97%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 16:59
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:00
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:55
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.66%EV -10.84%E -6.57%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.51%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:00
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 17:01
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.76%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.76%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 17:01
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -15.68%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 17:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -15.68%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.68%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.76%E -5.85%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -17.02%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -16.91%E -5.46%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-04-11 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-11 17:01
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.44%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-04-11 17:01
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.96%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.79%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%4.1%2026-04-11 17:01