L’École des cotes

Rio Ave FC v Gil Vicente

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 19:30 UTC

Score final : Rio Ave FC 0–0 Gil Vicente

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rio Ave FC (Local)

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.391%
Kelly -0.513%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%23.42%23.43%25.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.994.004.2027.78%25.04%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gil Vicente (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.34%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.22%50.28%50.35%51.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9257.80%54.06%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.24%3.81cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.566%
Kelly -0.773%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%26.29%26.22%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.7332.26%28.52%28.57%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.64%E -0.391%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.90%E -0.783%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -1.64%E -0.391%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:40
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.64%E -0.391%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 19:06
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.64%E -0.391%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 19:04
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.64%E -0.391%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 19:06
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.64%E -0.391%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 19:04
1xBet4.14I 24.15%NM 23.44%EV -3.05%E -0.736%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -2.11%E -0.566%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 19:20
Pinnacle4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV -3.28%E -0.795%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 19:21
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:40
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 19:06
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 19:06
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:05
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:05
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:05
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:05
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 19:06
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 19:05
GTbets4.04I 24.75%NM 23.32%EV -5.39%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.65%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.03%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 18:45
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 19:09
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:40
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 19:25
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:40
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:40
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:06
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 18:37
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 18:40
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -7.38%E -4.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:40
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 19:05
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 19:06
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 19:05
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.97%EV -7.38%E -4.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 19:06
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 19:06
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -8.39%E -4.61%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 19:06
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -8.39%E -4.61%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 19:05
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.79%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -7.38%E -4.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:50
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.86%E -2.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:41
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.86%E -2.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:40
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 19:01
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 19:01
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 19:06
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 19:06
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:45
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:44
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:45
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 19:20
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -10.40%E -5.84%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 19:25
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.41%EV -9.90%E -5.53%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 19:05
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 19:01
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 19:01
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -7.38%E -4.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.92%E -7.47%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -18.64%E -6.01%K -8.88%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 18:43
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -13.35%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.39%E -4.61%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 18:50
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.15%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 19:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%0.3%2026-05-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%0.3%2026-05-03 19:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-05-03 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-05-03 19:15
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-03 19:20
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-05-03 19:01