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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Nacional v Académico de Viseu

開賽時間： 2026-11-08 15:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

23 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Nacional (主隊)

預測 32.62%3.07公平賠率
EV -2.13%
優勢 -0.709%
Kelly -1.06%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.00

博彩公司預測分布
31.65%32.59%32.58%33.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.652.852.853.0037.74%35.14%35.09%33.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Académico de Viseu (客隊)

預測 38.04%2.63公平賠率
EV +0.419%
優勢 +0.159%
Kelly +0.256%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 2.64

博彩公司預測分布
36.76%38.09%37.97%39.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.252.422.402.6444.44%41.37%41.67%37.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 29.34%3.41公平賠率
EV -3.18%
優勢 -0.965%
Kelly -1.38%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.30

博彩公司預測分布
27.87%29.32%29.44%30.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.193.213.3033.33%31.31%31.15%30.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Nacional (主隊)：32.62%；Académico de Viseu (客隊)：38.04%；和局：29.34%。 對於「Académico de Viseu (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.63的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.64，對應+0.419%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (23 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.01%EV -4.09%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.76%EV +0.419%E +0.159%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.23%EV -5.82%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-08 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 09:54
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 17:19
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 15:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -3.76%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 09:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 10:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.04%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -7.19%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 09:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.13%E -0.709%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 03:39
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.02%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 09:59
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.65%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 15:15
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 03:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 03:39
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.09%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.27%EV -9.85%E -4.16%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 03:39
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.28%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 09:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-08 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.55%E -5.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.42%E -6.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-08 09:54
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-11-08 15:05
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.1%2026-11-08 10:50
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-11-08 14:45
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77%1.8%2026-11-08 15:05

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