مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gil Vicente v Benfica

البداية: 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gil Vicente (المضيف)

التنبؤ 16.28%6.14السعر العادل
EV +5.83%
الأفضلية +0.897%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.25%16.13%16.37%17.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.405.815.786.5018.52%17.21%17.32%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Benfica (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.21%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -3.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.60%60.38%60.14%62.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.531.551.6269.44%65.15%64.52%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.51%4.25السعر العادل
EV -0.070%
الأفضلية -0.017%
Kelly -0.022%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.07%23.48%23.49%24.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.94%25.00%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +5.83%E +0.897%K +1.06%G +0.062%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:49
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +5.83%E +0.897%K +1.06%G +0.062%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -10.90%E -7.36%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 19:49
Pinnacle6.34I 15.77%NM 15.21%EV +3.23%E +0.509%K +0.604%G +0.019%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 20:00
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
BetOnline.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:50
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -0.681%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 20:09
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -0.681%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 20:10
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 19:04
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.89%E -5.15%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:43
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.89%E -5.15%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 19:44
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:49
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:10
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:06
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:10
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:10
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:05
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.25%E -0.297%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:05
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -10.29%E -6.91%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -10.29%E -6.91%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 20:05
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -10.29%E -6.91%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 20:09
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:49
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:49
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -10.90%E -7.36%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -10.90%E -7.36%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 20:09
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -10.90%E -7.36%K -22.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-02 19:49
1xBet5.97I 16.75%NM 16.21%EV -2.80%E -0.469%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.72%EV -2.47%E -1.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.07%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-02 20:10
Parions Sport (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -5.57%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -2.42%E -0.584%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 20:10
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -5.57%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.20%EV -12.10%E -8.29%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 20:05
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -5.57%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -13.30%E -9.24%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-02 20:05
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 19:04
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.95%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 19:04
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -4.77%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 20:09
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.52%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -4.77%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 20:09
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:45
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 20:09
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:44
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.42%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.07%EV -8.49%E -5.58%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-02 20:04
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.60%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 20:09
GTbets5.58I 17.92%NM 16.93%EV -9.15%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.04%EV -7.59%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 20:09
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:34
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:34
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:54
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 20:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:57
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:55
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 20:00
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 20:00
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.89%E -5.15%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.65%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-02 20:04
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-02 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -13.30%E -9.24%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -17.71%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-02 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:34
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.30%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:34
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.12%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:59
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.12%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-03-02 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-03-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-03-02 20:09
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-03-02 20:10
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-03-02 20:09