赔率学院

Casa Pia v Benfica

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 19:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Casa Pia (主队)

预测 8.18%12.23公平赔率
EV +2.23%
优势 +0.178%
Kelly +0.194%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 12.50

博彩公司预测分布
7.47%8.21%8.13%9.40%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
9.5011.2711.0012.5010.53%8.87%9.09%8.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Benfica (客队)

预测 76.36%1.31公平赔率
EV -5.31%
优势 -4.28%
Kelly -22.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.24

博彩公司预测分布
73.53%76.19%76.51%78.08%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.131.211.221.2488.50%82.60%81.97%80.65%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 15.46%6.47公平赔率
EV +5.57%
优势 +0.816%
Kelly +0.956%
增长率 +0.053%

假设最高赔率为 6.83

博彩公司预测分布
14.18%15.60%15.37%17.65%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.005.916.006.8320.00%16.93%16.67%14.64%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +2.23%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.08%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.18%EV +5.57%E +0.816%K +0.956%G +0.053%3.3%2026-03-22 18:24
Pinnacle10.63I 9.41%NM 8.86%EV -13.06%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.53%EV -6.07%E -4.94%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.62%EV -0.456%E -0.071%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 10:00
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.86%E -0.155%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.25%EV -7.60%E -6.28%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -3.39%E -0.543%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-25 03:26
Marathon Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -1.86%E -0.155%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.28%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -4.94%E -0.803%K -0.959%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 03:54
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -10.04%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:25
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -10.04%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:24
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -10.04%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:25
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -10.04%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:24
SportsBet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.86%E -0.155%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 15:02
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -10.04%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 21:45
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -1.86%E -0.155%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.89%E -8.38%K -54.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 15:02
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -18.22%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.12%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 17:29
PMU (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 7.90%EV -10.04%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 76.87%EV -13.71%E -12.13%K -105.45%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.24%EV -11.89%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-25 15:04
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -22.30%E -2.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.99%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-24 21:44
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +2.23%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -16.53%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 03:30
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +2.23%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -16.53%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 03:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -18.22%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -22.71%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 18:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。