默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alverca v Arouca

2026-10-24 17:00 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alverca (主队)

预测 43.17%2.32公平赔率
EV -5.03%
优势 -2.29%
Kelly -4.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
41.72%43.07%43.16%44.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.122.152.2051.81%47.06%46.51%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arouca (客队)

预测 29.43%3.40公平赔率
EV -4.37%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -1.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.64%29.41%29.41%29.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.30%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.41%3.65公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.53%27.52%27.42%28.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.12%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Alverca (主队):43.17%;Arouca (客队):29.43%;平局:27.41%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.50,期望值为-4.08%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 12:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 12:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.90%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -7.37%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 12:03
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 12:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 12:04
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 11:48
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 12:04
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 12:10
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-12 11:44
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-12 11:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.79%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.00%EV -11.13%E -3.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.20%EV -11.75%E -3.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-12 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.19%E -4.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-12 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -14.66%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-12 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -16.69%E -8.65%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-12 11:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 42.81%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%16.8%2026-10-12 11:44