Szkoła Kursów

Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin

Początek: 2026-05-15 16:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Zagłębie Lubin 0–1 Pogoń Szczecin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.28%2.68kurs godziwy
EV -1.21%
Przewaga -0.456%
Kelly -0.732%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.93%37.25%37.32%38.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.502.502.6544.44%40.07%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pogoń Szczecin (Goście)

Prognoza 34.09%2.93kurs godziwy
EV -2.84%
Przewaga -0.997%
Kelly -1.54%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.88%34.22%33.97%37.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.632.612.8542.02%38.06%38.31%35.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.63%3.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.203%
Przewaga +0.058%
Kelly +0.081%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.27%28.54%28.71%29.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.223.203.5034.72%31.05%31.25%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -9.66%E -3.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.203%E +0.058%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 15:59
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.83%EV -6.43%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.59%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.23%E -0.356%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 15:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 16:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 16:00
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -3.82%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -2.84%E -0.997%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.85%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 15:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 15:55
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 16:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 16:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 16:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -1.21%E -0.456%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 16:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -1.95%E -0.743%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 16:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.68%E -4.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 16:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 15:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 16:00
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.25%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 16:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 16:00
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 37.58%EV -8.29%E -3.37%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.27%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 15:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 16:00
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 15:59
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-15 16:00
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -2.84%E -0.997%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 16:00
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 37.86%EV -8.29%E -3.37%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.03%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 37.86%EV -8.29%E -3.37%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.03%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 15:59
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.85%EV -6.93%E -2.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 15:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%EV -6.05%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -8.64%E -3.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 15:59
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%EV -6.05%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -8.64%E -3.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 15:59
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.25%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 16:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.55%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 16:00
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.80%EV -7.17%E -2.88%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.66%E -3.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 16:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -16.48%E -6.73%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 16:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -18.18%E -7.58%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 16:00
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.43%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -6.93%E -2.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -8.96%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 16:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 16:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -18.86%E -7.93%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 16:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 15:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 15:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.25%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 16:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.25%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 16:00
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.37%EV -11.65%E -4.91%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 15:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-15 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -16.12%E -7.16%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -11.36%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-15 15:59
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -11.27%E -4.74%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -17.55%E -6.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-15 16:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-15 16:00
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-15 16:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.75%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-15 16:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-05-15 16:00