Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wisła Płock v Widzew Łódź

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 16:00 UTC

Score final : Wisła Płock 0–0 Widzew Łódź

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wisła Płock (Local)

Prévision 30.48%3.28cote équitable
EV +1.50%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +0.642%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.91%30.45%30.30%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.773.023.003.3336.10%33.14%33.33%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.57%2.59cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.30%38.59%38.53%40.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.70%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV +4.62%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.06%30.96%31.17%32.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.962.953.3836.36%33.81%33.90%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wisła Płock (Local) : 30.48% ; Widzew Łódź (Visiteur) : 38.57% ; Match nul : 30.95%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.23. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.38, soit une espérance positive de +4.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.41%EV -7.95%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.53%EV -9.75%E -4.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.06%EV +4.62%E +1.37%K +1.94%G +0.090%5.4%2026-07-31 15:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.50%E -0.793%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 04:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 08:19
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 15:34
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 15:33
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 15:39
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV +1.50%E +0.449%K +0.642%G +0.010%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.94%EV -7.05%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 15:55
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.47%E -0.771%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 15:54
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -11.00%E -3.77%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -6.67%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 08:14
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -11.00%E -3.77%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -6.67%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 08:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 08:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV +0.582%E +0.176%K +0.253%G +0.001%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -6.83%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV +0.582%E +0.176%K +0.253%G +0.001%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -6.83%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 14:19
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV +0.582%E +0.176%K +0.253%G +0.001%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -6.83%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 14:20
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 15:34
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.66%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 15:35
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 13:49
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:55
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 15:40
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -10.52%E -4.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 15:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 15:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 08:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -3.08%E -0.967%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.29%EV -8.98%E -3.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.54%EV -9.00%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.98%EV -15.57%E -5.62%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.69%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.33%EV -9.62%E -3.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-31 15:33
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.48%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 15:54
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.48%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.48%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 15:54
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.04%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.48%EV -4.35%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 15:55
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-31 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-31 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -14.66%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 15:34
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -14.66%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -15.15%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-31 15:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 15:54
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 15:34
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.60%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.16%E -3.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 13:50
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.61%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.60%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.16%E -3.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 13:45
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -6.28%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -6.28%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-31 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-07-31 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-07-31 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-07-31 15:45
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-07-31 15:45
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-07-31 15:45
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-07-31 15:55