L’École des cotes

Wisła Płock v Widzew Łódź

2026-07-31 16:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wisła Płock (Local)

Prévision 29.99%3.33cote équitable
EV +7.05%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +2.74%
Croissance +0.193%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.58%29.60%30.31%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.003.5736.36%32.87%33.33%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.76%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%37.62%37.72%38.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.432.6045.45%41.30%41.15%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.26%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.35%32.78%31.97%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.832.863.0039.22%35.32%34.97%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 26.58%EV +7.05%E +1.97%K +2.74%G +0.193%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.35%EV -4.10%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -15.16%E -5.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:45
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV +1.95%E +0.573%K +0.812%G +0.016%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -17.74%E -6.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 16:24
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.450%E +0.134%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.18%EV -7.88%E -3.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.00%EV -11.61%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:35
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV +0.450%E +0.134%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -4.10%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -16.77%E -6.50%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV +0.450%E +0.134%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -4.10%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -16.77%E -6.50%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:25
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -0.449%E -0.135%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -11.61%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -5.55%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.84%E -0.706%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:30
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 16:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -3.87%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 16:49
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -3.87%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 16:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.09%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 17:05
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:50
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.46%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 16:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 16:51
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.54%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 16:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -11.54%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.05%EV -10.90%E -4.62%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 16:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 18:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 18:30
betano_uk2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 16:29
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 16:30
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.67%E -3.46%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -13.04%E -4.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -9.67%E -3.46%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.07%EV -13.94%E -4.86%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.88%EV -16.18%E -7.29%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.05%EV -10.32%E -3.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 16:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -14.54%E -5.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 16:50
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -16.04%E -5.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 16:51
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.54%E -6.38%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.94%E -7.70%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -11.29%E -4.10%K -6.45%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-26 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.37%13.0%2026-07-26 16:50
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +0.19%Pinnacle 3.57 (28.1%) / Coolbet 2.60 (38.5%) / Unibet (UK) 3.00 (33.4%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Wisła Płock (Local)Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Pinnacle 3.57 (28.1%)Coolbet 2.60 (38.5%)Unibet (UK) 3.00 (33.4%)+0.194%
Pinnacle 3.57 (28.1%)Coolbet 2.60 (38.5%)betano_uk 3.00 (33.4%)+0.194%
Pinnacle 3.57 (28.1%)Coolbet 2.60 (38.5%)Bet Victor 3.00 (33.4%)+0.194%