Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków

Início: 2026-08-29 15:30 UTC

Final: Wisła Kraków 2–0 Wieczysta Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Previsão 49.14%2.04odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -4.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.81%49.21%49.23%51.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.08%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 26.22%3.81odd justa
EV +2.27%
Vantagem +0.583%
Kelly +0.783%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.00%26.16%26.15%27.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.553.503.9031.25%28.13%28.57%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.64%4.06odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.362%
Kelly -0.482%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.92%24.64%24.63%26.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.723.754.0028.57%26.86%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wisła Kraków (Local): 49.14%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante): 26.22%; Empate: 24.64%. Para Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV +2.27%E +0.583%K +0.783%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.27%EV -13.03%E -7.36%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.84%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -14.01%E -8.00%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -10.07%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -14.99%E -8.67%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -14.99%E -8.67%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -14.99%E -8.67%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -14.99%E -8.67%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.04%EV -3.23%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.70%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 15:25
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -6.87%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.60%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.16%E -2.68%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.60%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.84%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.16%E -2.68%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.60%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.84%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.64%E -3.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.60%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.83%EV -8.60%E -4.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 15:15
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.45%E -0.362%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 15:15
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.84%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 15:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.77%E -3.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.77%E -3.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.77%E -3.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.18%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -10.32%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -1.45%E -0.362%K -0.482%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 15:14
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.91%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -12.53%E -7.04%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.64%E -3.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.09%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.09%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.09%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 15:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.09%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -8.60%E -4.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.77%E -4.55%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.07%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -14.77%E -4.55%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.08%E -5.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.99%-0.0%2026-08-29 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-29 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-29 15:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-29 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-08-29 15:20
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-08-29 15:25