مدرسة الاحتمالات

Raków Częstochowa v Cracovia Kraków

البداية: 2026-04-19 12:47 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Raków Częstochowa 4–1 Cracovia Kraków

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.61%2.02السعر العادل
EV -4.74%
الأفضلية -2.47%
Kelly -5.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.09%49.60%49.70%51.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.841.831.9258.14%54.47%54.64%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cracovia Kraków (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.34%4.48السعر العادل
EV +0.960%
الأفضلية +0.212%
Kelly +0.273%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.92%22.32%22.22%23.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.154.204.5226.67%24.09%23.81%22.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.05%3.56السعر العادل
EV -3.22%
الأفضلية -0.934%
Kelly -1.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.16%28.08%28.08%29.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.283.303.4534.72%30.48%30.30%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.00%EV -6.73%E -3.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.21%EV +0.960%E +0.212%K +0.273%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -3.22%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 12:44
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.60%EV -6.73%E -3.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.33%EV -0.380%E -0.085%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -4.91%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 12:44
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.72%E -0.391%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.22%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.72%E -0.391%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.22%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.72%E -0.391%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.22%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:45
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.72%E -0.391%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.22%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -7.23%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.72%E -0.391%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.72%E -0.391%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:45
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.84%E -0.652%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:42
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.84%E -0.652%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.84%E -0.652%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:45
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.84%E -0.652%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:45
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.84%E -0.652%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:45
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.95%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 12:43
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -10.70%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.95%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 12:45
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -8.71%E -4.74%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.07%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:44
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -8.71%E -4.74%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.07%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:44
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.69%E -6.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -5.07%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.69%E -6.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -5.07%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:45
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -7.23%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:45
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -7.23%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 12:45
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -7.72%E -4.15%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:44
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.22%E -4.44%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:45
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:45
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -12.68%E -7.21%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 12:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -13.67%E -7.86%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -6.19%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.73%E -3.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:45
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.73%E -3.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -5.24%E -2.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:45
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -8.22%E -4.44%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:44
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -8.71%E -4.74%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:44
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -14.67%E -8.53%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 12:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.24%E -2.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.65%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 12:45
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.65%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 12:44
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.65%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:44
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.70%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.65%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 12:45
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.65%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 12:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -4.74%E -2.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -11.77%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 12:44
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -4.74%E -2.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -11.77%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 12:44
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.89%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.47%EV -11.69%E -6.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -12.89%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 12:45
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -7.23%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.01%E -3.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:45
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.82%EV -14.17%E -8.19%K -19.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%EV -14.01%E -3.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 12:44
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.62%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.12%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 12:43
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.62%EV -9.71%E -5.33%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.12%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.21%E -5.03%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -16.24%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.21%E -6.67%K -10.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 12:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 12:45
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-04-19 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-19 12:45
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.37%2.2%2026-04-19 12:45
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 48.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.22%6.1%2026-04-19 12:45