Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Motor Lublin v Zagłębie Lubin

Início: 2026-03-20 19:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Motor Lublin (Local)

Previsão 46.97%2.13odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -3.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.14%46.83%47.01%47.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.951.952.0556.18%51.17%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)

Previsão 26.54%3.77odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.488%
Kelly -0.669%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.59%26.66%26.53%28.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.453.7032.26%29.13%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.49%3.77odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -0.756%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%26.51%26.46%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.433.453.6733.33%29.12%28.99%27.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Motor Lublin (Local): 46.97%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante): 26.54%; Empate: 26.49%. Para Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.77. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -1.81%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:14
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -1.81%E -0.488%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -3.57%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 19:20
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -11.09%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 19:14
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -11.09%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.42%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 19:20
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -5.52%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.87%EV -2.78%E -0.756%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.81%E -0.488%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.81%E -0.488%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -5.52%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.87%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 19:14
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:55
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 18:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 10:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.42%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.88%E -4.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.96%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.88%E -4.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -8.88%E -4.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -17.73%E -5.72%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.35%E -4.84%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 19:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -9.82%E -5.11%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -9.82%E -5.11%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.90%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-20 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.28%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 19:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 19:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.42%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.29%E -5.39%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -12.42%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -20.53%E -6.84%K -10.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-20 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.80%EV -11.23%E -5.94%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -11.09%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-20 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.72%EV -11.23%E -5.94%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.42%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.52%EV -11.78%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-20 19:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -12.17%E -6.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.93%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18%EV -13.11%E -7.08%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%EV -16.40%E -5.21%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -15.23%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-20 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 47.14%EV -16.39%E -9.21%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.64%EV -16.40%E -5.21%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.22%EV -15.23%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-20 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-03-20 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-03-20 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-03-20 19:15
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-03-20 19:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-03-20 19:15