La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Korona Kielce v Nieciecza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Korona Kielce (Local)
Predicción 56.70%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.81%56.62%56.74%57.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.641.651.7167.57%60.94%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nieciecza (Visitante)
Predicción 19.80%5.05momio equitativo
EV +3.97%
Ventaja +0.756%
Kelly +0.934%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.22%19.80%19.82%22.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.604.605.2525.00%21.73%21.74%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.50%4.26momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -0.943%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.75%23.59%23.44%25.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.863.904.1329.41%25.94%25.64%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.97%E +0.756%K +0.934%G +0.037% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.97%E +0.756%K +0.934%G +0.037% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.49%EV +2.78%E +0.536%K +0.663%G +0.018% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.05%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.07%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.65%EV +1.79%E +0.348%K +0.432%G +0.008% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.983%E -0.197%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -0.983%E -0.197%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -0.983%E -0.197%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.17%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.85%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.98%EV -2.95%E -0.715%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -11.88%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -11.88%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.87%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.87%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.87%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.87%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.87%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.24%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -13.86%E -3.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.46%EV -12.12%E -7.82%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -14.25%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.25%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -20.11%E -5.91%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-07 13:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.59%EV -16.09%E -10.87%K -33.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.48%EV -14.85%E -3.45%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.93%EV -17.76%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -7.01%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -16.83%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.83%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.83%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.08%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -20.79%E -5.20%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.75% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.98% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 21.23% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 24.80% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 13:45 |