La escuela de los momiosGórnik Zabrze v Cracovia Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Predicción 50.82%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.68%50.89%50.80%53.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.831.831.9460.61%54.66%54.64%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 21.13%4.73momio equitativo
EV +3.94%
Ventaja +0.802%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.31%21.12%21.09%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.204.204.9227.03%23.80%23.81%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.958%
Ventaja -0.272%
Kelly -0.379%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.15%28.00%28.10%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5334.72%30.60%30.77%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.02%E -4.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.31%EV +3.94%E +0.802%K +1.01%G +0.040% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -9.55%E -5.36%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.52%E +0.719%K +0.903%G +0.032% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -9.55%E -5.36%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.52%E +0.719%K +0.903%G +0.032% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.96%EV -8.02%E -4.43%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV +1.83%E +0.380%K +0.480%G +0.009% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.15%EV -0.958%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.703%E -0.150%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 15:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -0.703%E -0.150%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.82%E -0.612%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.45%E -1.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 15:28 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.74%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.10%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -12.09%E -6.99%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.15%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.19%EV -16.15%E -9.79%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.03%EV -9.15%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -10.21%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.21%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.21%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -6.50%E -3.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.09%E -6.99%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.20%E -6.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -7.52%E -4.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 15:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.52%E -4.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.82%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.78%EV -14.44%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.64%EV -14.44%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.24%EV -14.63%E -8.71%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.26%EV -14.44%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 27.50%EV -12.18%E -3.89%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.68%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 15:18 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -1.93%E -0.998%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -1.93%E -0.998%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -1.93%E -0.998%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -1.93%E -0.998%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.47%EV -9.55%E -5.36%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -17.60%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 15:28 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -2.94%E -1.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -18.66%E -4.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -19.72%E -5.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -19.72%E -5.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.48%E -2.95%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%EV -19.72%E -5.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -20.77%E -5.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -7.52%E -4.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -21.83%E -5.90%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |