Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GKS Katowice v Wieczysta Kraków

2026-10-12 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 45.49%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%45.45%45.49%46.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.852.012.022.1554.05%49.79%49.50%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.76%3.36cote équitable
EV -4.46%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.83%29.88%29.67%31.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.053.2135.71%32.59%32.79%31.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -0.890%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.43%24.68%24.83%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.703.703.9028.57%26.99%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : GKS Katowice (Local) : 45.49% ; Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur) : 29.76% ; Match nul : 24.75%. Pour GKS Katowice (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.15, pour une espérance de -2.21% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.47%E -0.890%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.47%E -0.890%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.31%EV -3.72%E -0.956%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.36%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.48%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.48%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 13:59
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.48%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 13:59
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.87%EV -8.57%E -4.27%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.03%E -4.51%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.28%E -4.96%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.50%EV -9.48%E -4.77%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -4.46%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.35%EV -9.48%E -4.77%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.39%E -5.28%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -11.30%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.30%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.30%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.69%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.76%EV -11.39%E -3.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-10 13:58
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.60%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.60%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.72%EV -12.21%E -6.33%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-10 14:01
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.20%EV -12.21%E -6.33%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.88%EV -13.09%E -4.48%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.99%EV -12.67%E -6.60%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -16.66%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.99%EV -14.49%E -7.71%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -15.85%E -8.57%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-10 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-10-10 19:55
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 44.54%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15