La escuela de los momios

GKS Katowice v Jagiellonia Białystok

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:45 UTC

Final: GKS Katowice 2–2 Jagiellonia Białystok

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Predicción 35.91%2.78momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.54%35.86%35.92%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.572.602.7042.55%38.88%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)

Predicción 38.00%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.26%37.96%38.04%39.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5844.44%41.77%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -0.780%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.97%26.18%26.04%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.66%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:54
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:54
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:09
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:54
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:09
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:09
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -3.76%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.32%EV -1.97%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -4.84%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.15%E -0.572%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -4.84%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:39
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -4.84%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 12:54
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -5.56%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -11.47%E -4.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -5.56%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -11.47%E -4.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 12:54
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.92%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 13:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-11 00:14
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.96%EV -7.71%E -3.00%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.26%EV -5.77%E -2.33%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:34
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.37%E -5.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 12:54
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -12.58%E -3.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 12:55
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.83%EV -8.79%E -3.46%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.83%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 17:45
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -9.51%E -3.77%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 13:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -9.51%E -3.77%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 13:05
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:36
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -12.58%E -3.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.94%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.24%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.82%EV -9.19%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -9.95%E -4.20%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -9.95%E -4.20%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.02%E -4.91%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 13:05
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.02%E -4.91%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 00:45
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.46%EV -13.10%E -5.41%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -15.19%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -13.82%E -5.76%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -21.72%E -7.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -14.54%E -6.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-14 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.55%EV -15.61%E -6.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-14 13:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-05-17 10:40