La scuola delle quote

Arka Gdynia v Zagłębie Lubin

Inizio: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Casa)

Previsione 38.56%2.59quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.41%38.62%38.54%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.352.382.5146.51%42.58%42.11%39.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.61%3.27quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -0.644%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.05%30.53%30.63%31.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.003.2035.71%32.92%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.83%3.24quota equa
EV -2.88%
Vantaggio -0.913%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.75%30.85%30.83%32.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.45%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.40%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.31%EV -2.67%E -0.841%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -5.03%E -1.63%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 16:45
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%EV -3.60%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%EV -3.60%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 16:35
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -3.60%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.88%E -0.913%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 16:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -3.60%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 16:50
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.14%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:55
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.24%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 16:39
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.34%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.52%EV -6.96%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -8.12%E -2.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:50
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 16:50
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 16:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 16:49
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 16:43
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -11.51%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 16:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 16:35
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 16:30
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.24%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 16:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.24%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-07 16:45
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.45%E -3.11%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -12.77%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-07 16:39
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.22%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 16:39
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.22%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 16:39
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.22%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.67%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.56%EV -8.61%E -3.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-07 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.61%E -3.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.16%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 16:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.61%E -3.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.16%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -2.88%E -0.913%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -2.88%E -0.913%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -2.88%E -0.913%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:15
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -2.88%E -0.913%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.71%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.86%E -4.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-07 16:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-07 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.31%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.30%E -5.11%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.75%E -6.20%K -9.85%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-07 16:35
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.30%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:14
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.30%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:15
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.30%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:15
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.30%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:15
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.30%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -2.06%E -0.644%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:15
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.24%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -3.59%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.24%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.19%EV -10.33%E -3.52%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-07 16:39
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -13.24%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -12.77%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-07 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -14.01%E -6.28%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -14.01%E -6.28%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:14
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.24%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-07 16:39
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.47%EV -13.69%E -4.86%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.47%EV -13.05%E -4.63%K -7.17%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-07 16:44
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -15.94%E -7.31%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-07 16:14
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -17.09%E -7.95%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.04%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-04-07 16:50
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-04-07 16:50
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-04-07 16:40
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-04-07 16:55