L’École des cotes

Viking FK v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 56.32%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.823%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.05%56.32%56.36%57.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.651.651.7567.57%60.79%60.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.52%5.12cote équitable
EV +3.48%
Avantage +0.657%
Kelly +0.810%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%19.54%19.54%20.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.744.755.3023.81%21.11%21.05%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.15%4.14cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.631%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.78%24.13%24.10%25.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.753.734.0629.41%26.67%26.85%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV +3.48%E +0.657%K +0.810%G +0.028%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:54
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV +3.48%E +0.657%K +0.810%G +0.028%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:54
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV +3.48%E +0.657%K +0.810%G +0.028%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -8.45%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.49%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.72%EV +0.748%E +0.145%K +0.180%G +0.001%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.79%EV -1.93%E -0.476%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:44
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.15%EV -4.26%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.86%EV +0.553%E +0.107%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.99%EV -2.17%E -0.536%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 16:49
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:34
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.32%E -5.79%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -2.38%E -0.475%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 16:48
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -1.44%E -0.823%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.30%EV -2.57%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -9.42%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:34
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -7.73%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:55
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:39
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.95%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 16:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.95%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 16:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -4.33%E -0.883%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.83%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 16:39
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.20%E -5.03%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.28%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.20%E -5.03%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.28%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.26%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:34
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:29
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.76%E -5.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:49
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.76%E -5.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.42%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 16:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.32%E -5.79%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 16:49
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 55.79%EV -9.32%E -5.79%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -7.26%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -14.25%E -4.01%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.76%E -5.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.76%E -5.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:48
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.76%E -5.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:54
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.76%E -5.41%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -10.19%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:28
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 16:34
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.17%EV -8.20%E -5.03%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 16:49
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.89%E -6.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 16:52
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.83%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 16:34
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.89%E -6.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -12.14%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 16:49
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -11.58%E -7.37%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -13.11%E -2.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 16:33
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.63%E -4.66%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -14.09%E -3.20%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:34
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -15.07%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 16:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.62%EV -12.14%E -7.78%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.94%EV -15.07%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.44%EV -14.25%E -4.01%K -5.59%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 16:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -15.46%E -3.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -15.46%E -3.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -15.46%E -3.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -15.46%E -3.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 16:30
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.59%EV -16.65%E -11.25%K -34.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.48%EV -16.04%E -3.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.93%EV -15.46%E -4.42%K -6.18%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-21 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -9.89%E -6.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -18.00%E -4.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -11.83%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 16:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.58%E -7.37%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -18.00%E -4.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.48%EV -11.58%E -7.37%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -18.00%E -4.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -17.87%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-21 16:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-03-21 16:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-03-21 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-21 16:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-21 16:49
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%2.5%2026-03-21 16:52