La escuela de los momios

Vålerenga v Viking FK

Inicio: 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Predicción 32.39%3.09momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.92%32.42%32.50%33.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.862.883.0037.74%34.94%34.78%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viking FK (Visitante)

Predicción 43.00%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.858%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%42.97%42.94%43.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.60%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.60%4.06momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.521%
Kelly -0.696%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.86%24.62%24.56%26.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.693.703.9831.25%27.11%27.03%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 12:10
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 12:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 07:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 07:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 06:59
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 07:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 07:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 06:59
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.55%EV -3.79%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -2.07%E -0.521%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 12:20
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%EV -1.96%E -0.858%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -2.81%E -0.712%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 11:49
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -6.69%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 07:00
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -6.69%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 07:00
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -7.12%E -3.29%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 07:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -7.12%E -3.29%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 06:59
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -4.76%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:40
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 11:39
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:40
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:10
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -7.98%E -3.73%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 07:00
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.95%EV -8.84%E -4.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.95%EV -8.84%E -4.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:00
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.84%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.95%EV -4.97%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.21%EV -3.55%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:25
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 12:25
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 11:40
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 11:40
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.82%EV -7.03%E -2.45%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:20
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.15%EV -4.54%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:06
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:40
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 07:00
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 11:39
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 11:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -7.98%E -3.73%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 11:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 11:40
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 11:40
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 11:40
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -11.85%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -15.11%E -4.38%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -10.27%E -3.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -14.00%E -7.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 12:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 10:55
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 12:25
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:24
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 11:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 11:40
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.85%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -14.00%E -7.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -21.27%E -6.65%K -9.67%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-06 12:20
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 10:55
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.55%EV -14.00%E -7.00%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 11:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -14.16%E -5.34%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -11.85%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-06 12:25
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-06 12:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.4%2026-04-06 12:25