La escuela de los momios

Vålerenga v Kristiansund BK

Inicio: 2026-05-29 17:02 UTC

Final: Vålerenga 3–1 Kristiansund BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Predicción 59.75%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -6.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%59.66%59.81%61.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.541.6168.97%64.79%64.72%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kristiansund BK (Visitante)

Predicción 18.77%5.33momio equitativo
EV +0.423%
Ventaja +0.079%
Kelly +0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.67%18.78%18.74%20.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.905.005.3523.26%20.39%20.00%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.48%4.65momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.257%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.68%21.55%21.46%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.254.284.6027.78%23.54%23.39%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV +0.423%E +0.079%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV +0.423%E +0.079%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.68%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.22%EV +0.048%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.18%E -0.257%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:58
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.73%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.19%EV -0.328%E -0.062%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.08%EV -1.61%E -0.352%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 17:00
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:58
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.98%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.33%E -0.740%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.98%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.33%E -0.740%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:59
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:47
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:59
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:59
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.55%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:59
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.16%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 17:00
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.16%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 17:00
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.89%EV -5.58%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.97%EV -2.68%E -0.593%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
BetAnything1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.70%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 16:59
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -8.70%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -8.70%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 16:59
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 16:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -8.96%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 16:59
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.60%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.83%EV -7.20%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 16:58
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 16:58
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 17:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 16:59
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -13.37%E -9.22%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.98%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.93%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -8.70%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-29 16:58
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 16:59
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -16.22%E -4.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -16.22%E -4.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -16.22%E -4.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -16.22%E -4.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 17:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.86%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.00%E -3.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -22.66%E -6.30%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -19.29%E -4.49%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.6%2026-05-29 17:00