Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Score final : Vålerenga 1–2 Bodø/Glimt

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 17.29%5.78cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.201%
Kelly +0.242%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.03%17.33%17.33%19.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.305.285.8522.22%18.85%18.96%17.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.48%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -6.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.31%63.42%63.53%65.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.461.471.5273.53%68.57%68.03%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.23%5.20cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.344%
Kelly -0.427%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.56%19.25%19.14%20.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.734.755.1123.26%21.15%21.05%19.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vålerenga (Local) : 17.29% ; Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur) : 63.48% ; Match nul : 19.23%. Pour Vålerenga (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.78. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.10%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.242%G +0.003%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -10.60%E -2.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +0.310%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.95%E -0.382%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +0.310%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.95%E -0.382%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 11:55
BetAnything🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +0.310%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.95%E -0.382%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 11:55
FanDuel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.310%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:33
Coolbet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.04%EV -1.42%E -0.249%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.91%EV -3.51%E -2.31%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV -1.95%E -0.382%K -0.475%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 10:54
1xBet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -3.15%E -0.562%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -7.33%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 11:59
Pinnacle🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 17.35%EV -3.49%E -0.626%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.70%EV -3.51%E -2.31%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.95%EV -1.76%E -0.344%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 11:59
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.74%EV -5.42%E -3.63%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.774%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:34
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:35
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:35
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:34
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 03:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:25
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:34
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.56%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 13:10
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.56%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:53
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.56%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 11:53
GTbets🎯5.38I 18.59%NM 17.29%EV -6.95%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.84%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.87%EV -10.02%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 10:45
NordicBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -8.34%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.80%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.76%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.34%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -8.34%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.47%EV -7.95%E -5.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.87%E -0.774%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:59
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 11:19
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.52%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 11:50
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.82%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -6.76%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:34
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 09:55
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:33
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 11:54
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.95%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.04%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.83%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.41%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.04%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.83%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.41%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.80%E -2.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:59
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 11:58
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.68%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 11:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.78%E -3.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 11:59
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -15.41%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 11:59
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.59%E -5.97%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 11:34
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.35%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -11.56%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 11:45
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 11:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.13%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.96%EV -13.67%E -10.05%K -37.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.91%EV -17.33%E -4.03%K -5.25%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-07 09:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.95%E -5.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -16.98%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -20.44%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -15.41%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 11:04
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -22.17%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.13%E -7.95%K -27.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -13.48%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-08 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.5%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.37%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%0.6%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.37%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%0.6%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.0%2026-08-08 11:55
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-08-08 11:55