Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga v Bodø/Glimt

2026-08-08 12:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 14.99%6.67cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +0.501%
Kelly +0.586%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 6.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.70%14.90%15.12%16.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.136.176.9019.23%16.30%16.19%14.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.19%1.49cote équitable
EV -5.27%
Avantage -3.74%
Kelly -12.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.24%67.17%67.15%68.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.381.4176.92%72.76%72.73%70.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.82%5.61cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.362%
Kelly -0.443%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.06%17.94%17.73%19.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.604.994.905.5021.74%20.03%20.41%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Vålerenga (Local) : 14.99% ; Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur) : 67.19% ; Match nul : 17.82%. Pour Vålerenga (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.67. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.90, pour une espérance positive de +3.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV +3.46%E +0.501%K +0.586%G +0.020%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 13:14
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV +3.46%E +0.501%K +0.586%G +0.020%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 13:14
Pinnacle6.71I 14.90%NM 14.19%EV +0.610%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.50%EV -6.61%E -4.76%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -1.99%E -0.362%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:19
1xBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.45%EV -1.04%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.12%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.43%EV -2.53%E -0.462%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 13:14
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.97%E -7.44%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -3.78%E -0.699%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 13:19
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 13:14
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -5.56%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:19
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.66%E -9.74%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -3.29%E -0.510%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.10%EV -7.95%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -4.67%E -0.872%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:10
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
BetRivers6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -5.27%E -3.74%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:10
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -8.54%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.00%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:09
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -8.54%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.00%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:10
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -8.54%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.32%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -12.69%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 13:09
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.45%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 13:19
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.45%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:15
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.45%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:10
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 13:19
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.06%EV -7.95%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.85%EV -14.47%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:10
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.06%EV -7.95%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.85%EV -14.47%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:09
LeoVegas5.90I 16.95%NM 15.34%EV -11.54%E -1.96%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.56%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:19
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -13.03%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.22%EV -7.95%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 13:25
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -13.03%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.12%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -16.25%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 13:09
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -16.03%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.02%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -14.47%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 13:23
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -16.03%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.90%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -15.36%E -3.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 13:19
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -17.53%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -18.03%E -3.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 13:19
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -20.53%E -3.87%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.75%EV -9.97%E -7.44%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 13:19
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.69%EV -22.03%E -4.24%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.24%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.08%EV -14.47%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%14.1%2026-08-01 13:20