L’École des cotes

Tromso v Kristiansund BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 74.39%1.34cote équitable
EV -0.318%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.934%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.47%74.30%74.45%76.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.251.251.3484.03%79.77%80.00%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.31%10.74cote équitable
EV +11.77%
Avantage +0.981%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.126%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.89%9.40%9.27%11.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.449.0012.0012.90%10.60%11.11%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.30%6.14cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +0.423%
Kelly +0.502%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.21%16.30%16.28%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.505.506.3020.41%18.18%18.18%15.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.57%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +11.77%E +0.981%K +1.07%G +0.126%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.88%EV -8.50%E -6.91%K -36.96%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV +4.79%E +0.426%K +0.467%G +0.022%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -3.86%E -0.654%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:44
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.69%EV -4.78%E -3.74%K -17.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV +2.46%E +0.224%K +0.246%G +0.006%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV +1.85%E +0.296%K +0.352%G +0.007%3.2%2026-04-11 06:29
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.47%EV -9.24%E -7.58%K -42.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV +2.46%E +0.224%K +0.246%G +0.006%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -7.12%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:39
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.04%EV -9.99%E -8.25%K -47.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV +2.46%E +0.224%K +0.246%G +0.006%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -3.86%E -0.654%K -0.787%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:39
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.73%E -8.94%K -53.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +2.46%E +0.224%K +0.246%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:09
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.73%E -8.94%K -53.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +2.46%E +0.224%K +0.246%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:39
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.27%E -4.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%10.96I 9.12%NM 8.74%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.210%G +0.004%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +2.66%E +0.423%K +0.502%G +0.013%4.4%2026-04-11 13:45
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.19%EV -6.27%E -4.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -2.20%E -0.209%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:14
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.24%E -7.58%K -42.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -2.20%E -0.209%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:40
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 73.99%EV -4.78%E -3.74%K -17.07%G +0.000%10.17I 9.83%NM 9.31%EV -5.27%E -0.518%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.70%EV -7.60%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:50
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.08%EV -6.27%E -4.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.37%EV -5.92%E -0.586%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -0.923%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 05:35
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 12:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 05:35
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 74.48%EV -8.50%E -6.91%K -36.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -8.74%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 74.48%EV -8.50%E -6.91%K -36.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -8.74%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.73%E -8.94%K -53.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -6.86%E -0.686%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 13:55
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.71%EV -4.04%E -3.13%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV -9.18%E -0.942%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 12:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.81%EV -10.73%E -8.94%K -53.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -11.51%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 13:40
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.47%EV -0.318%E -0.237%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.26%EV -14.31%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -20.15%E -4.11%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.76%E -6.26%K -32.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:50
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.24%E -7.58%K -42.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.17%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 08:14
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.73%EV -11.48%E -9.64%K -60.40%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.03%EV -18.50%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 13:48
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 73.01%EV -7.76%E -6.26%K -32.32%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.53%EV -19.90%E -2.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 73.01%EV -7.76%E -6.26%K -32.32%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.53%EV -19.90%E -2.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.98%EV -10.73%E -8.94%K -53.66%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.18%EV -19.90%E -2.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.84%EV -15.26%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 13:45
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -4.04%E -3.13%K -13.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:25
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -4.04%E -3.13%K -13.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:24
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -4.78%E -3.74%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -13.63%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.50%E -6.91%K -36.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.41%EV -3.86%E -0.654%K -0.787%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.03%EV -6.27%E -4.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.03%EV -6.27%E -4.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 05:14
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 05:14
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 05:14
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -20.83%E -2.45%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -15.26%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:25
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.85%EV -9.24%E -7.58%K -42.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -25.48%E -3.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.45%EV -9.99%E -8.25%K -47.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -27.81%E -3.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.77%2.3%2026-04-11 13:50